Post by shuckle on Jun 18, 2018 4:00:23 GMT
As some of you know, I, Shuckle, have been killing Corporeal Beast in an attempt to obtain the coveted Elysian Spirit Shield. Before starting this log, I had killed around 230 Corporeal Beasts, during which time I got a spectral sigil, 200k osrs gp voucher, and two spirit shields. I intend to keep this log until I get an elysian sigil drop from Corp.
Current Logged KC: 210
Total Drops:
Green Dragonhide(x100): 31
Onyx Bolts (e)(x175): 0
Adamantite Ore(x125): 25
Runite Ore(x25): 30
Adamantite Bar(x25): 28
Rune Essence(x2500): 30
Raw Shark(x70): 29
Magic Logs(x75): 17
Coins(Varies): 9 - 777k
Clue Scroll (Hard): 10
Spirit Shield: 1
Holy Elixir: 0
Spectral Sigil: 0
Arcane Sigil: 0
Elysian Sigil: 0
Dropwise:
1. Green Dragonhide
2. Green Dragonhide
3. Runite Ore
4. Runite Ore
5. Rune Essence
6. Adamantite Bar
7. Coins(x71237)
8. Adamantite ore
9. Coins(x93797)
10. Green Dragonhide
11. Adamantite Bar
12. SPIRIT SHIELD
13. Coins(x79726)
14. Rune Essence
15. Rune Essence
16. Coins(x88687)
17. Adamantite Bar
18. Green Dragonhide
19. Magic Logs
20. Adamantite Bar
21. Green Dragonhide
22. Runite Ore
23. Rune Essence
24. Adamantite Bar
25. Green Dragonhide
26. Green Dragonhide
27. Adamantite Bar
28. Adamantite Bar
29. Green Dragonhide
30. Adamantite Ore
31. Runite Ore
32. Runite Ore
33. Raw Shark
34. Raw Shark
35. Clue Scroll (Hard)
36. Runite Ore
37. Raw Shark
38. Adamantite Ore
39. Runite Ore
40. Raw Shark
41. Rune Essence
42. Runite Ore
43. Rune Essence
44. Raw Shark
45. Adamantite Ore
46. Adamantite Ore
47. Adamantite Bar
48. Clue Scroll (Hard)
49. Magic Logs
50. Coins(x86013)
51. Raw Shark
52. Rune Essence
53. Adamantite Ore
54. Runite Ore
55. Adamantite Bar
56. Green Dragonhide
57. Adamantite Ore
58. Rune Essence
59. Green Dragonhide
60. Green Dragonhide
61. Green Dragonhide
62. Coins(x84760)
63. Adamantite Ore
64. Magic Logs
65. Adamantite Bar
66. Adamantite Ore
67. Coins(x78261)
68. Raw Shark
69. Raw Shark
70. Magic Logs
71. Magic Logs
72. Adamantite Ore
73. Adamantite Bar
74. Clue Scroll (Hard)
75. Adamantite Ore
76. Rune Essence
77. Rune Essence
78. Green Dragonhide
79. Clue Scroll (Hard)
80. Green Dragonhide
81. Adamantite Ore
82. Rune Essence
83. Raw Shark
84. Raw Shark
85. Adamantite Ore
86. Raw Shark
87. Raw Shark
88. Raw Shark
89. Magic Logs
90. Raw Shark - - Something fishy is going on here
91. Green Dragonhide
92. Adamantite Bar
93. Adamantite Ore
94. Rune Essence
95. Runite Ore
96. Adamantite Ore
97. Runite Ore
98. Green Dragonhide
99. Rune Essence
100. Adamantite Bar
101. Adamantite Bar
102. Raw Shark
103. Magic Logs
104. Clue Scroll (Hard)
105. Green Dragonhide
106. Adamantite Ore
107. Runite Ore
108. Green Dragonhide
109. Rune Essence
110. Clue Scroll (Hard)
111. Raw Shark
112. Adamantite Bar
113. Rune Essence
114. Runite Ore
115. Coins(x95819)
116. Runite Ore
117. Adamantite Bar
118. Adamantite Bar
119. Green Dragonhide
120. Clue Scroll (Hard)
121. Green Dragonhide
122. Green Dragonhide
123. Green Dragonhide
124. Adamantite Ore
125. Raw Shark
126. Runite Ore
127. Runite Ore
128. Magic Logs
129. Rune Essence
130. Rune Essence
131. Green Dragonhide
132. Runite Ore
133. Adamantite Ore
134. Rune Essence
135. Runite Ore
136. Rune Essence
137. Adamantite Ore
138. Raw Shark
139. Runite Ore
140. Runite Ore
141. Magic Logs
142. Magic Logs
143. Green Dragonhide
144. Runite Ore
145. Magic Logs
146. Rune Essence
147. Raw Shark
148. Runite Ore
149. Raw Shark
150. Rune Essence
151. Adamantite Bar
152. Adamantite Bar
153. Rune Essence
154. Green Dragonhide
155. Magic Logs
156. Green Dragonhide
157. Runite Ore
158. Runite Ore
159. Raw Shark
160. Raw Shark
161. Runite Ore
162. Coins(x98933)
163. Adamantite Ore
164. Clue Scroll (Hard)
165. Adamantite Bar
166. Rune Essence
167. Rune Essence
168. Raw Shark
169. Clue Scroll (Hard)
170. Green Dragonhide
171. Adamantite Ore
172. Adamantite Bar
173. Green Dragonhide
174. Magic Logs
175. Magic Logs
176. Green Dragonhide
177. Adamantite Ore
178. Rune Essence
179. Raw Shark
180. Rune Essence
181. Green Dragonhide
182. Raw Shark
183. Runite Ore
184. Raw Shark
185. Raw Shark
186. Magic Logs
187. Runite Ore
188. Adamantite Ore
189. Adamantite Ore
190. Rune Essence
191. Magic Logs
192. Green Dragonhide
193. Adamantite Ore
194. Raw Shark
195. Raw Shark
196. Adamantite Bar
197. Runite Ore
198. Raw Shark
199. Rune Essence
200. Clue Scroll (Hard)
201. Rune Essence
202. Adamantite Bar
203. Adamantite Bar
204. Rune Essence
205. Adamantite Bar
206. Magic Logs
207. Adamantite Bar
208. Adamantite Bar
209. Runite Ore
210. Runite Ore
Salt Overflow: I've decided to stop after 210 logged kills. Checkmeowt, the owner, told me that Each Sigil had a unique drop rate of 0.8%, and the Holy Elixir had a drop rate of 0.5%. Cumulatively, this drop rate totals to 2.9% for a rare drop. Discounting the 200+ kills I had already been for these drops before starting, This seems hugely unlikely. Given a population where the mean probability of getting one of the aforementioned drops 0.029, the probability of getting none in 210 kills is 210C0(1-0.029)210(0.029)0, or (0.971)210, which comes out to 0.00207. In other words, there is a 0.2% chance that this anomaly is the result of chance alone, which is a much lower probability than getting your choice of the rare drops in a single kill.
Current Logged KC: 210
Total Drops:
Green Dragonhide(x100): 31
Onyx Bolts (e)(x175): 0
Adamantite Ore(x125): 25
Runite Ore(x25): 30
Adamantite Bar(x25): 28
Rune Essence(x2500): 30
Raw Shark(x70): 29
Magic Logs(x75): 17
Coins(Varies): 9 - 777k
Clue Scroll (Hard): 10
Spirit Shield: 1
Holy Elixir: 0
Spectral Sigil: 0
Arcane Sigil: 0
Elysian Sigil: 0
Dropwise:
1. Green Dragonhide
2. Green Dragonhide
3. Runite Ore
4. Runite Ore
5. Rune Essence
6. Adamantite Bar
7. Coins(x71237)
8. Adamantite ore
9. Coins(x93797)
10. Green Dragonhide
11. Adamantite Bar
12. SPIRIT SHIELD
13. Coins(x79726)
14. Rune Essence
15. Rune Essence
16. Coins(x88687)
17. Adamantite Bar
18. Green Dragonhide
19. Magic Logs
20. Adamantite Bar
21. Green Dragonhide
22. Runite Ore
23. Rune Essence
24. Adamantite Bar
25. Green Dragonhide
26. Green Dragonhide
27. Adamantite Bar
28. Adamantite Bar
29. Green Dragonhide
30. Adamantite Ore
31. Runite Ore
32. Runite Ore
33. Raw Shark
34. Raw Shark
35. Clue Scroll (Hard)
36. Runite Ore
37. Raw Shark
38. Adamantite Ore
39. Runite Ore
40. Raw Shark
41. Rune Essence
42. Runite Ore
43. Rune Essence
44. Raw Shark
45. Adamantite Ore
46. Adamantite Ore
47. Adamantite Bar
48. Clue Scroll (Hard)
49. Magic Logs
50. Coins(x86013)
51. Raw Shark
52. Rune Essence
53. Adamantite Ore
54. Runite Ore
55. Adamantite Bar
56. Green Dragonhide
57. Adamantite Ore
58. Rune Essence
59. Green Dragonhide
60. Green Dragonhide
61. Green Dragonhide
62. Coins(x84760)
63. Adamantite Ore
64. Magic Logs
65. Adamantite Bar
66. Adamantite Ore
67. Coins(x78261)
68. Raw Shark
69. Raw Shark
70. Magic Logs
71. Magic Logs
72. Adamantite Ore
73. Adamantite Bar
74. Clue Scroll (Hard)
75. Adamantite Ore
76. Rune Essence
77. Rune Essence
78. Green Dragonhide
79. Clue Scroll (Hard)
80. Green Dragonhide
81. Adamantite Ore
82. Rune Essence
83. Raw Shark
84. Raw Shark
85. Adamantite Ore
86. Raw Shark
87. Raw Shark
88. Raw Shark
89. Magic Logs
90. Raw Shark - - Something fishy is going on here
91. Green Dragonhide
92. Adamantite Bar
93. Adamantite Ore
94. Rune Essence
95. Runite Ore
96. Adamantite Ore
97. Runite Ore
98. Green Dragonhide
99. Rune Essence
100. Adamantite Bar
101. Adamantite Bar
102. Raw Shark
103. Magic Logs
104. Clue Scroll (Hard)
105. Green Dragonhide
106. Adamantite Ore
107. Runite Ore
108. Green Dragonhide
109. Rune Essence
110. Clue Scroll (Hard)
111. Raw Shark
112. Adamantite Bar
113. Rune Essence
114. Runite Ore
115. Coins(x95819)
116. Runite Ore
117. Adamantite Bar
118. Adamantite Bar
119. Green Dragonhide
120. Clue Scroll (Hard)
121. Green Dragonhide
122. Green Dragonhide
123. Green Dragonhide
124. Adamantite Ore
125. Raw Shark
126. Runite Ore
127. Runite Ore
128. Magic Logs
129. Rune Essence
130. Rune Essence
131. Green Dragonhide
132. Runite Ore
133. Adamantite Ore
134. Rune Essence
135. Runite Ore
136. Rune Essence
137. Adamantite Ore
138. Raw Shark
139. Runite Ore
140. Runite Ore
141. Magic Logs
142. Magic Logs
143. Green Dragonhide
144. Runite Ore
145. Magic Logs
146. Rune Essence
147. Raw Shark
148. Runite Ore
149. Raw Shark
150. Rune Essence
151. Adamantite Bar
152. Adamantite Bar
153. Rune Essence
154. Green Dragonhide
155. Magic Logs
156. Green Dragonhide
157. Runite Ore
158. Runite Ore
159. Raw Shark
160. Raw Shark
161. Runite Ore
162. Coins(x98933)
163. Adamantite Ore
164. Clue Scroll (Hard)
165. Adamantite Bar
166. Rune Essence
167. Rune Essence
168. Raw Shark
169. Clue Scroll (Hard)
170. Green Dragonhide
171. Adamantite Ore
172. Adamantite Bar
173. Green Dragonhide
174. Magic Logs
175. Magic Logs
176. Green Dragonhide
177. Adamantite Ore
178. Rune Essence
179. Raw Shark
180. Rune Essence
181. Green Dragonhide
182. Raw Shark
183. Runite Ore
184. Raw Shark
185. Raw Shark
186. Magic Logs
187. Runite Ore
188. Adamantite Ore
189. Adamantite Ore
190. Rune Essence
191. Magic Logs
192. Green Dragonhide
193. Adamantite Ore
194. Raw Shark
195. Raw Shark
196. Adamantite Bar
197. Runite Ore
198. Raw Shark
199. Rune Essence
200. Clue Scroll (Hard)
201. Rune Essence
202. Adamantite Bar
203. Adamantite Bar
204. Rune Essence
205. Adamantite Bar
206. Magic Logs
207. Adamantite Bar
208. Adamantite Bar
209. Runite Ore
210. Runite Ore
Salt Overflow: I've decided to stop after 210 logged kills. Checkmeowt, the owner, told me that Each Sigil had a unique drop rate of 0.8%, and the Holy Elixir had a drop rate of 0.5%. Cumulatively, this drop rate totals to 2.9% for a rare drop. Discounting the 200+ kills I had already been for these drops before starting, This seems hugely unlikely. Given a population where the mean probability of getting one of the aforementioned drops 0.029, the probability of getting none in 210 kills is 210C0(1-0.029)210(0.029)0, or (0.971)210, which comes out to 0.00207. In other words, there is a 0.2% chance that this anomaly is the result of chance alone, which is a much lower probability than getting your choice of the rare drops in a single kill.